U.S. Geological Survey
Energy Resource Surveys Program

Graph of discovery-rate forecast

Discovery-rate forecast in the Gulf of Mexico corrected for field growth by computer simulation in field size class 14 in the Miocene-Pliocene trend. The 1980 forecasts were made from 1980 vintage data, and the actual 1988 discovery-rate profile was made from 1988 vintage data.


The Uncertainty of Estimating Growth of Hydrocarbon Reserves